A test for syphilis gives a positive result with probability 0.98 when tested on a person whohas the disease. The test gives a negative result with probability 0.9 when tested on a personwho does not have the disease. Assume that 3% of a society has the disease, and compute thefollowing probabilities in the order they are asked. Note that for each individual there are twodisease status(disease, no disease) and two types of test results(positive, negative).
a) Compute the probability that an individual has the disease and has a positive test result. Explain.
b) Compute the probability that an individual does not have the disease and has a positive test result.
c) What does the sum of two probabilities given above correspond to? Explan.
d) If possible, using the three probabilities computed above compute the probability that an individual with a positive test result has the disease. Give reasons to your computation.

Answers

Answer 1

Answer:

a) P₁ = 0,0294

b) P₂ = 0,097

c) P₃  = 0,1264

P₃  is the total probability of the individual having a positive test result

d) P₄ = 0,232

Step-by-step explanation:

a) Probability that an individual has the disease and has a positive result is P₁ :

P₁ = The probability of having the disease * Probability of + in the test result

P₁ = 0,03 * 0,98

P₁ = 0,0294

b) the probability that an individual does not have the disease and has a positive test result P₂ is:

P₂ = 0,97 * 0,1

P₂ = 0,097

c) P₃   the sum of the two previous probabilities is:

P₃  = 0,0294 + 0,097

P₃  = 0,1264

P₃  is the total probability of the individual having a positive test result

d) Applying the Bayes theorem we can get the probability that an individual with a positive test result has the disease.  (P₄ )

Bayes theorem establishes:

P [ A/B ]  =  P[B/A] * P(A) / P(B)

In this case

P[ with disease/ given (+)tr]

= P [(+)Test/ with disease]* P (with disease)/ P of test +

P₄ = 0,98 * 0,03 / 0,1264

P₄ = 0,232


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An equation is a formula in mathematics that joins two statements with the equal symbol = to represent equality. The definition of an equation in algebra is a mathematical statement proving the equality of two mathematical expressions. In the equation 3x + 5 = 14, for instance, the terms 3x + 5 and 14 are separated by an equal sign. The link between two phrases on either side of a letter is expressed mathematically. There is often only one variable, which is also the symbol. instance: 2x - 4 Equals 2.

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At what time t was the instantaneous velocity equal to the average velocity? (Round your answer to one decimal place.)

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Answer:

Instantaneous velocity can be equal to average velocity when the acceleration is zero or velocity is constant because in this condition all the instantaneous velocities will be equal to each other and also equal to the average velocity.

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Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

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Answer:

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Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Can a triangle have sides with the given lengths ? Explain . 1 ft , 2 ft , 4ft

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I think it would be possible to have a triangle with the given lengths. It would just look a bit wonky and weirdly angled

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Step by step solution: see photo

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answer:

6√2

Step-by-step explanation:

-√2×2×2 -√2×3×3×3 + 2√3×3

-2√2 - 3✓6 + 2×3

-2√2 - 3√2×2 +2 + 6

6√2

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Answer:

x=-1 and y=4

Step-by-step explanation:

When you draw a graph you will see point of intersection which is solution

What is the vertex form to standard form?

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Answer:

[tex]y=x^2+2x-2[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Vertex Form:

Vertex form is expressed as: [tex]y=a(x-h)^2+k[/tex], and is super useful when analyzing the vertex, which is given to be (h, k).

Standard Form:

Standard form is expressed as: [tex]y=ax^2+bx+c[/tex], and is also useful in certain cases.

Converting Vertex to Standard Form:

When converting standard to vertex we have to complete the square to rewrite the equation using a perfect square binomial, which is what really distinguishes the two. Now when we want to convert back into standard form, we simply need to get rid of this perfect square binomial, which we can do by expanding out the perfect square binomial into a trinomial.

So in other words, we want to multiply out the following: [tex](x+1)(x+1)[/tex], which becomes: [tex]x^2+2x+1[/tex] which you can solve by using polynomial multiplication, which is essentially just extending the logic of the distributive property. In general when given two polynomials to multiply, you look at one polynomial, and then multiply it by each term in the other polynomial, now repeat this for each term in the polynomial you were initially looking at. I'll provide a picture to better illustrate this. You can use FOIL if it helps you with multiplying binomials, but remembering how to generally use it, will help you when multiplying polynomials in general.

Now that we've multiplied out the expression, we can substitute it into the equation: [tex]y=x^2+2x+1-3[/tex], now just combine the constants: [tex]y=x^2+2x-2[/tex], and now you've converted it into standard form!

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Step-by-step explanation:

You want cos(x -π/3) written in terms of sine and cosine.

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The formula for the cosine of the difference between two angles is ...

  cos(a -b) = cos(a)cos(b) +sin(a)sin(b)

Application

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We know that ...

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Answers

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

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What is simplify in mathematics?

The word "simplify" implies to turn something in a simpler form.

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we rearrange the expression by removing the parenthesis.

we remove the parenthesis by multiplying the factors.

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3f + 16m -56

the above expression has no like terms to add or subtract so it is kept in this form.

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Frank's father came home from San Francisco by airplane. He had to wait 1 hour and 45 minutes at the airport in San Francisco. Then Frank's
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Answers

Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Answer:

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2. Two sidewalks in a park are represented by lines on a coordinate grid.
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Answers

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

The price of a seven minute call direct to New York, in the evening, is given as follows:

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A seven minute call is composed by six additional minutes after the first, hence the total cost is obtained as follows:

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Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Answer:

center (2, -3)

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Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

Graph A on edge

Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

A random sample of 40 adults with no children under the age of 18 years results in a mean daily leisure time of 5.65 hours, with a standard deviation of 2.43 hours. A random sample of 40 adults with children under the age of 18 results in a mean daily leisure time of 4.37 hours, with a standard deviation of 1.73 hours. Construct and interpret a 90% confidence interval for the mean difference in leisure time between adults with no children and adults with children. (u1 - u2)
Let u1 represent the mean leisure hours of adults with no children under the age of 18 and u2 represent the mean leisure hours of adults with children under the age of 18. The 90% confidence interval for (u1 - u2) is the range from (???, ???) round to 2 decimals

Answers

Answer:

The 90% confidence interval for (u1 - u2) is the range from; ( 0.50 - 2.06 )

Step-by-step explanation:

Given the data in the question;  

Adult with No children under 18                    Adult with children under 18

x"₁ = 5.65                                                             x"₂ = 4.37

s₁ = 2.43                                                               s₂ = 1.73

n₁ = 40                                                                  n₂ = 40

with 90% confidence

significance level ∝ = 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.9 = 0.1    

Degree of freedom df = 39

Now, since variance are not equal and are also unknown, we will use 2 sample t-distribution method;

Standard Error: σx"₁ - x"₂ = [tex]\sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2} }[/tex]

Critical value = [tex]t_{\alpha /2, df[/tex] = [tex]t_{0.05, df=39[/tex] = 1.645   { from standard normal table }

Now,

Margin of Error = E = [tex]t_{\alpha /2, df[/tex] × [tex]\sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2} }[/tex]

we substitute

E = 1.645 × [tex]\sqrt{\frac{2.43^2}{40} + \frac{1.73^2}{40} }[/tex]      

E = 1.645  × √( 0.1476225 + 0.0748225 )

E = 0.7758478

Now, our point difference will be; x"₁ - x"₂ = 5.65 - 4.37 = 1.28

So Limit at 90% confidence interval will be;

x"₁ - x"₂ ±  E

Lower Limit = x"₁ - x"₂ - E = 1.28 - 0.7758478 = 0.50415 ≈ 0.50

Upper Limit = x"₁ - x"₂ + E = 1.28 + 0.7758478 = 2.05584 ≈ 2.06

Therefore, The 90% confidence interval for (u1 - u2) is the range from; ( 0.50 - 2.06 )

Equations of Exponential Functions

The population, P, of six towns with time t in years are given by the following exponential equations:

(i) P = 1000(1.08)t (ii) P = 600(1.12)t
(iii) P = 2500(0.9)t (iv) P = 1200(1.185)t
(v) P = 800(0.78)t (vi) 2000(0.99)t

Which town is growing the fastest?

a. i c. iv
b. iii d. vi

Please select the best answer from the choices provided

Answers

Answer:

C. iv

Step-by-step explanation:

I calculated it logically

Makayla has 2 yards of ribbon to use for a craft project she cuts the ribbon into pieces that are 1/4 yard long how many pieces of ribbon does Makayla have

Answers

Answer:

8

Step-by-step explanation:

2/ 1/4 = 8

Answer: 8

Step-by-step explanation: 2 / 1/4 = 8

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